Market context
XRP is trading around $1.04 on Friday after briefly cracking to $1.01 earlier in the week, per BeInCrypto's price wrap. That is a different tape than the $1.39 print the Cryptomat entity desk was working off a few days ago, and the gap matters: the token has round-tripped the entire post-CLARITY-optimism bid in under a month. Standard Chartered still carries an $8 XRP call by 2026 and Ripple continues to market its Treasury platform with claims of 13,000 bank connections. None of that is showing up in spot.
What is showing up is policy risk. The Senate's failure to move the CLARITY Act to cloture this week pushed the vote to September, and the market took the hint. Cryptonews reports XRP ETF inflows have collapsed 79% since May, and crypto.news flagged the first meaningful outflow from a spot XRP product on Thursday at $3.58 million. That is small in absolute terms. It is large as a signal, because it is the first time the ETF cohort has been a net seller since launch.
Technical setup
The chart reads as a fight for the $1 psychological floor. XRP has now tested and held $1.01 once, and the bounce to $1.04 has come on unremarkable volume. There is nothing in the tape that looks like a demand shock. The prior Cryptomat frame around $1.41 as the wall to reclaim is still valid, but the more immediate battle is $1.10 to $1.20, the shelf where the CLARITY-Act rally originated and where trapped longs sit.
Range-bound is the honest label. A weekly close under $0.98 breaks the pattern of higher lows and hands control to sellers. A reclaim of $1.20 on rising volume reopens $1.41 as the next magnet. In between, XRP is a policy trade dressed up as a chart.
